Geneva II on Syria can show direction but not end the War
Christof Lehmann (nsnbc) : The National Coalition for the Syrian Revolutionary Forces (NCROF) declared its inability to announce whether it would participate in the Geneva II conference until two days before the conference. An assistant of UN/AL Envoy Brahimi told the largest domestic Syrian opposition group, the National Coordination Committee (NCC), that it was not invited to Geneva. Neither Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or any of the core NATO members who are backing various armed insurgencies would achieve a strategic advantage via a peaceful resolution of the war. The greatest success of finally holding the Geneva II conference will be that the outcome will make it clear that there is only one solution to the conflict, and that this solution is a Syrian solution and not one that is forced upon the country by foreign interests.
On Friday, the Al Hayat newspaper quoted “a source at the NCROF General Secretariat” as stating that a decision, whether the NCROF would take part in the Geneva II peace conference, would be made not earlier than Saturday or Sunday, adding that “differences in the Coalition’s ranks are so strong that opposition leader Ahmad al Jarba is unlikely to secure the necessary 60 votes in his support”.
The newspaper reports that NCROF leader al-Jarba, and what is described as “a group of realists in his entourage” agree to attend the Geneva II conference, but that they constitute a minority within the group’s leadership.
Complicating the situation is that six of the armed factions under the NCROF umbrella question al-Jarba’s leadership role. Al-Jarba was reelected in a cliffhanger vote on 6 January, blamed for the political responsibility in the crushing military defeat the alliance has suffered in late 2013 under commander Idriss, which culminated with the insurgents headquarter being overrun by The Islamic Alliance, sending the high-command fleeing across the border into Turkey. (1)
Al-Jabar’s main opposition comes from within the ranks of the predominantly Turkish and Turkish Muslim Brotherhood – backed Syrian National Council, which opposed a participation in the Geneva II conference unless there would be given guarantees that “Assad had to go”.
Complicating the situation is that the head of the so-called Supreme Military Council of the Free Syrian Army, which has been thrown out of its Syrian headquarters by the Islamic Alliance, also said that participating in the Geneva II conference would be “a wrong choice which does not meet the interests of the Syrian revolution”.
Adding to the chaos within those “opposition groups” which core NATO members’ governments position as “the moderate opposition”, is the fact that all of their military forces combined, only constitute a small percentile of the mercenary forces which are operating in Syria, and that only a small percentage of their troops actually are Syrians.
The vast majority of mercenary forces in Syria is fighting under the banners of the predominantly Saudi Arabia financed and commanded Jabhat al-Nusrah, Liwa-al-Islam, and about 25 other al-Qaeda brigades; none of which will even consider participating in the Geneva II conference, and for a very good reason which are:
- Their presence in Geneva would reveal that there are no Syrians within their high command.
- Their presence in Geneva would reveal that the main fighting forces in Syria consist almost exclusively of people who have been recruited from other Middle Eastern, Asian and African and European countries, including Russian, Caucasian republics.
- Their presence in Geneva would reveal that the “opposition” represented by Al-Jarba is a minute, militarily and politically insignificant factor with regards to the war in Syria, which only has credibility because core NATO member states are promoting them as “the opposition”, so as to serve their own interests.
- The presence of the Al-Qaeda leaders who actually command the main fighting forces in Syria would risk to lead to a disclosure of the fact that the intelligence services of Saudi Arabia, which controls and commands these brigades, and the intelligence services of the USA, UK, France and Israel cooperate closely with each other, and that the purported “cold air” between Saudi Arabia and the USA is nothing more than a “thin air” a cover, that allows core NATO members to distance themselves politically from the Al-Qaeda brigades, while financing arming and commanding them via Saudi Arabia.
Genuine Political Opposition in Syria. Contrary to the circus of foreign backed political organizations and mercenary brigades, there exists a genuine and vibrant political spectrum of parties, party groups, grassroots and special interest organizations in Syria.
All of these parties, groups and organizations reject any foreign intervention or interference, which is most likely the main reason for them having been rigorously omitted by all core NATO member government’s discourse about Syria and in all western corporate and state funded media, without exclusion.
This vibrant opposition consists, among others, of the Kurdish National Council (KNC), the National Coordination Committee for Democratic Chance (NCC), which represents broad popular coalition of Pan-Arabists, Nationalists, Kurdish Parties and Organizations, Syrian Socialists, Internationalist Socialists, Marxist Organizations, Peace Movements, Human Rights Organizations, Religious NGOs and other organizations, the Syrian Social Nationalist Party (SNP), the People’s Will Party (PWP), and of course, the Syrian Socialist Arab Baath Party. (ibid.)
The National Coordination Committee for Democratic Change (NCC) is by far the largest of these pro-reform, anti-foreign interference organizations and it has, along with all of the other political and popular organizations, participated in a vibrant, peaceful and constructive national dialog with the Syrian government. (4)
This process has, in fact, already resulted in a detailed agreement for reform in Syria, which has been approved by the Syrian parliament, ratified by the Syrian presidency, and been made publicly available in English translation. (5)
However, also that has been absolutely omitted by all governments of core NATO member states, without exclusion, by all GCC member state governments, and by all corporate and state funded mainstream media in all NATO and GCC member states.
So much to the freedom of speech and the freedom of the press in those countries, who preach democracy by day, while sending throat slitting assassins, and cannibalizing, raping terrorists by night.
Brahimi tells “Syrian” Opposition that they are not invited to Geneva II. The National Coordination Committee (NCC) has announced that it will not participate in the Geneva II conference. The NCC representative Munzir Khaddam spoke to the Al-Watan news service, saying:
“the humiliating conditions, on which we are suggested to be present at the forum, are unacceptabæe to us”.
Khaddam stressed, that the assistant to the special representative of the United Nations and the League of Arab States (AL), Mukhtar Lamani, instead of sending an invitation to the NCC, merely:
“notified the NCC Chairman, Hassan Abdul Azim, that the opposition delegation would be formed and led by the NCROF”.
Lakhdar Brahimi, the United Nations and AL Special Envoy to Syria has tasked his assistant to notify the largest of Syria’s genuine opposition groups, the NCC, that they are not welcome at the table in Geneva.
The UN / AL Special envoy has thus, vicariously, also told all other stakeholders in Syria, who have been working peacefully for three years and who have arrived at a reform program already, while the so-called (foreign-backed) “opposition” was busy murdering Syrians, that they are not welcome at the table in Geneva, and that the NCROF, which cannot even agree whether to come to Geneva at all, is representing them.
UN / AL Envoy’s Statement has shown viable Solution for ending the War in Syria. The fact that UN Special Envoy Brahimi has excluded the NCC and with it all of the other political and popular organizations who have been working towards peace and reform since 2011, endows the Syrian government with the implied obligation not to accept any terms and conditions in Geneva, which would violate any of the constitutionally guaranteed rights of the citizens of Syria. (6)
The only offer which the Syrian government could legitimately table in Geneva, is that all opposition groups and parties represented in Geneva would be welcome to participate in the Syrian political discourse, on equal terms with all others, if they cease fire, disarm, and stop any illegal subversive activities.
It is very unlikely that al-Jarba or any other leader of any of the foreign backed groups will accept such terms, or that they even would be allowed to do so by their paymasters.
A rejection of such terms would afford the Syrian government with a moral and constitutional mandate to use all possible military force to rid the country of the invasion by foreign mercenaries, so as to guarantee that the legitimate ambitions for political reform, as approved by all of the country’s parties and opposition groups, can be implemented as soon as possible. That realization may in fact the most positive outcome of the Geneva II conference one can objectively expect.
Ch/L – nsnbc 17.01.2014